> "CO2, Tomorrow I Quit"
 


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Tomorrow I Quit

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Introductory note

The noé21 association (www.noe21.org) was formed in 2003, with the aim of propagating the idea of environmental tax reform in all spheres of society, especially among decision makers. One of the association's first acts was to get in touch with similar associations (alas, few in number) throughout the world, in order to benefit from their experience and avoid overlapping. We went first to Munich, to see the people at Green Budget Germany, in particular its director, Mr Anselm Görres. The latter told us right away that promoting this type of reform is a difficult and thankless task: no one really wants it, no one likes it and no one wants to pay more for fuel.

None the less, the survival of planet earth depends on such a reform, in our opinion at least.

This remark that environmental tax reform is unloved was one that we were to hear frequently in our subsequent meetings with bankers, elected representatives, environmentalists and entrepreneurs. It never failed. There is a huge information gap; people do not fully grasp the idea of a tax shift. This is what prompted us to make a film, in order to stimulate debate and inform those concerned in Europe, particularly those who will be responsible for applying the Kyoto protocol and the whole series of laws to come in its wake.

The following screenplay is the upshot of these and other observations. It is by no means final (and paradoxically I hope it will long remain an ongoing process: where there is onward movement there is life).

The film comprises two parts. The first consists of a five-minute introduction in which we endeavour to describe the greenhouse effect, the limits to growth, the limits of the economics systems we live in, and the reasons why people resist change. In part two, which has more original content, we attempt to explain what environmental tax reform involves. In both parts, the spotlight alternates between two viewpoints presented in what we hope is a balanced fashion, one factual and scientific, the other emotional and subjective. To break down the barriers...

Synopsis

1 - CHALET, EXT, DAYTIME

Seated in front of a tiny chalet, a man in his forties plays with his son. Through binoculars, the boy is watching some chamois pick their way down over the scree. He is about ten years old.

In voice-over the silent father thinks: In 50 years, one in four living species may have disappeared.. I can hardly imagine it.

The boy turns to his father: "Can I have a bit more chocolate?"

His father smiles and says: "Go ahead".

Munching the chocolate, the boy takes another look at the chamois as they frisk on a mountain ridge. Close-up of one of the chamois turning its head to look down towards the valley on the other side, the side we cannot see.

In that valley on the far side of the ridge, columns of lorries climb the road leading to the Mont Blanc tunnel. Exhaust fumes.

The boy stands up and hands the binoculars to his father.

The boy exclaims: "Look, Dad, they have all gone".

The father, in voice-over, thinks: I really feel there is nothing we can do about it. It's terrible to feel so powerless.

2 - BEACH, EXT. DAYTIME

Tropical jungle and a beach in summer, people lying on the sand and children playing in the waves.

Voice-over narration: Since the industrial age began 150 years ago, the earth's climate has been changing. It has been getting warmer, to the point that climate change now constitutes a threat to many living species.

But is there anything people can do to save the earth's climate?

 

Title

CO2, tomorrow I quit

3 - COLOUR ANIMATION of dinosaurus



Scene: the world 100 million years ago. CO2 molecules are represented by pink spots (one of which is shown in enlargement).

Voice-over narration: Why is the earth getting warmer? During the dinosaurs' era, 100 million years ago, there was three times more CO2 in the atmosphere than there is today. Average temperatures were ten degrees warmer.

Voice-over narration: Organic residues rich in carbon were gradually trapped underground and then slowly converted by pressure into oil, coal and gas.

Scene: animals and plants die and are crushed into a paste. The geological strata thus formed, sink and are covered by other layers.

Scene: as a result of this compression process, the number of pink spots in the sky dwindles. In the underground layers, however, it rises. We see this slow transition process, with more and more pink spots underground and fewer in the blue sky around the globe.

Voice-over narration: This is how two thirds of the carbon in the atmosphere was gradually removed from the cycle. At that moment, cars make their appearance.

Since the end of the last ice age 10 000 years ago, we have enjoyed a temperate climate conducive to human activity.

Scene: we see the Earth's crust with pools of oil lying underground. Backfiring noisily, an old Model T Ford sucks up some oil through a previously empty pipe sticking out from its rear. This is followed by other increasingly modern cars, then by coal- and oil-fired power stations.

Voice-over narration: Burning fossil fuel today releases into the atmosphere in the space of a few decades the carbon accumulated over millions of years. This upsets the fragile balance of the climate.

4 - CAR, EXT, DAYTIME

A violent storm sweeps away a bridge. Floods. A high-voltage power mast is toppled by the gale.

Behind a window, two children wipe away the condensation and look out through the downpour. They are sitting in the back of a family sedan, stuck in a traffic jam in the rain.

A young woman in a pink dress is seated at the wheel, taking the children to school; she is annoyed at wasting her time in the traffic jam.

One of the children is irritated because he is hot and hampered by his waterproof jacket:

The child : "Mum, I don't like the car. Can you take off our jackets?"

The mother: "Not just now."

The child: "Can we walk home after school this afternoon?"

The mother, evasively: "We'll see. I can't promise."

We see the car again with the mother and her children on a rainy day. And more cars on the motorway.

The mother, in voice-over, thinks: Of course I was tired out that afternoon and I went to get them by car. It's stupid, I know.

5A - SAND DESERT, ICE DESERT

A sandstorm sweeps over a dune. In a bleak landscape, the sand swallows up a road. This is a transition scene intended to convey the message that climate change can also result in drought.

A glacier crumbles in the Antarctic. Shot of an icicle containing trapped air bubbles. The icicle fades into a group of scientists recovering an ice core and analysing it in a laboratory. We first see an Antarctic research station (Vostok?) and then the ice core containing air bubbles.

Voice-over commentary: By analysing the air bubbles trapped deep in the Antarctic ice, we can learn what the earth's climate was like in the past.

The camera lingers on the trapped air bubbles, making a good backdrop for the next scene.

5B - ANIMATION of curves

Two different curves, one yellow and one blue, appear one under the other. They have a light point and a green trace, which slowly follow a similar path.

Voice-over commentary: For millions of years, the Earth's temperature has varied in the same pattern as the content of CO2 in the atmosphere.

paleoclimate

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming

http://www.brighton73.freeserve.co.uk/gw/globalwarmingfaq.htm

The two curves rise and fall together, making a sound reminiscent of an electrocardiogram.

They reflect 10 Milankovitch cycles of 100 000 years each. We hear the sound of a heart beating to the rhythm of the wind.

Voice-over narration (coinciding with the moment the curves reach the year 1850): Since 1850, the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere has soared to levels...
(on actual levels see exp-co2)

An alarm starts to beep when one of the curves (that of CO2 concentration) veers upwards to unprecedented heights.

..not reached since the time of the dinosaurs. see gassmann p 53

As the camera zooms in on the last 1000 years, the alarm stops beeping. The time-scale changes. A span of 1000 years now fills the screen instead of 400 000 years. At this point, the graphic designer must make it clear that we are simply zooming in on the last part of the same curve.

The dotted line representing the earth's temperature begins to rise only in the year 2000, because of the time-lag effect. The paths followed by the two curves reflect this phenomenon.

Voice-over narration: There is a time lag between CO2 concentration rise and temperature rise. Today, we suffer the effects of carbon dioxide emissions that occurred 50 years ago.

Two other curves, yellow and red with no light source, appear on the screen. Representing gross world product and population, they rise parallel to the CO2 emissions' curve. We see how these three curves follow similar exponential paths.

Voice-over narration: Our planet has lived through a period of exponential demographic and economic growth. Carbon dioxide emissions are a consequence of that growth, which is simply not sustainable. pop exp PNB

Pop-up images illustrate this development model, with eight-lane motorways etc.

6 SUPERMARKET, INT, EVENING

Voice-over narration : Things we do in our daily life contribute greatly to CO2 emissions.
A young couple shop for fruit and vegetables in a supermarket. As it is winter, they are warmly dressed. They buy some apples and a little basket of strawberries. The young woman hesitates as she puts the strawberries into her trolley.

Pallets of strawberries are unloaded from an aeroplane.

Young woman to friend: "Would you like some?"

Friend: "Good idea."

They move off.

In voice-over, the young woman thinks: Strawberries in winter, it seems silly to me...

In voice-over, the young man thinks: I often have the feeling I buy for no reason.

7 - RAFINERY EXT. NIGHT



The flames from the chimneystacks of an oil refinery tare up the night. (Have a startling effect on the spectator as a reminder of the danger approaching, unrelated to what happens before or after).

The Hadley centre, a research centre on the evolution of climate. Scientists work in front of their computer screens attempting to understand the risks of undergoing a climate change.

Voice-over narration: The IPCC, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, has been holding meetings since 1988. This assembly of eminent scientists and economists was set up by the UN to better understand the impact our activities have on global warming.

Here, image of the UN. Next shot, Brazilian scientists in the process of measuring the absorption of CO2 by the Amazonian forest.

The IPCC's conclusions confirm the existing consensus within the scientific community: our CO2 emissions threaten the climate of the Earth.
Global warming is already responsible for a portion of the natural disasters that we are enduring, such as fires, floods, storms and droughts.

We can observe how they grow in frequency and in strength. The number of major storms has doubled in the last 35 years.

Massive fires devastate a forested area. Floods paralyse entire cities.

Voice-over narration: It is now a certainty: our industrial civilization has reached its limit. We have to think about the future in other terms than in fossil energy. It is hard to admit, but the industrial countries have until 2050 to achieve a fourfold reduction of their CO2 emissions. (on this factor 4 see ecotaxes-60000jobs and also jancovici)

Yes, but how? How to diminish the consumption of fossil fuel and uranium, in order to turn completely towards the renewable energies? This is the question that we need to retain, and in an urgent manner.
We believe that the ecological tax reform, also known as "ecotax", is one answer to this challenge.
Since the beginning of the petrol era, there has only been one period of significant decrease in consumption. In 1974, OPEC decided to triple the price of crude oil leading to a historical decrease in pollution. Worth noting here, is that the most efficient way to diminish the consumption of petrol is by increasing its price. That is what the ecotax proposes.
Planet appears holding two glasses

An increase in the oil tax rates is obviously political and economic suicide.

Here, the planet is sad and starts going red with the first glass getting filled up - petrol is more expensive.

For this reason the revenue generated by the ecological tax reform is used almost entirely to lower and stabilize non-wage labour costs.

The second glass fills up while we hear the sound of clinking coins falling. The planet smiles and becomes greener.

Thus, one speaks of a tax shift ; this means a shift of taxation from non-wage labour costs onto CO2. One part of the collected taxes goes to financing renewable energies. In effect, the tax rate does not increase, it is simply displaced.

Illustrations : Skyscraper in N-Y.

The Earth turns in the models of the Hadley centre, more or less green, more or less red, depending on the scenario.

Pop-up added to image: a gas pump with prices that vary, wind generator.

Wind generator in construction.
Airplane with CO2 inserted on it.

By taxing progressively and significantly each tonne of CO2 released into the atmosphere, the ecotax automatically reduces the consumption of fossil fuel based products.
This takes place in economic sectors such as transport, industry and agriculture, as well as in the heating of buildings.
Greenhouse gasses present a cost to the collectivity that is not reflected in the actual price of fossil fuels.

Here image of high polluting industry

The ecological tax reform satisfies the polluter-payer principle by re-establishing realistic prices, it helps improve the functioning of the market.

Good for employment, good for the climate and neutral for the wallets, the ecological tax reform has been adopted in Germany since 1999.

Long, very convincing images of polluting industries.

8 - STREET EXT. DAYTIME
By increasing the price of fossil fuels, the ecotax will help us change collectively our consumption habits.

The young woman in pink walks with her children on her way to school.

Young woman explains in voice-over: The gas costs a little more. I accompany them more often by foot. I get less stressed. It is not always easy to change your habits. Here, I don't really have a choice, I have to take the price increase into account, I have to adapt, which isn't a bad thing.

Modern public transportation: new silent and smooth trams, comfortable buses, and a welcoming train station. The deafening sound of motor vehicles becomes more and more distant.

 

9 - SUPERMARCHE. ETIQUETTES

All the goods we buy and sell everyday have a hidden energy contents. The petrol needed to produce and transport them. We now have to re-establish an economic system that is more in tune with our natural environment.

At the fruit and vegetable isle the prices of the strawberries and oranges increase, where as that of the apples from the Valais, Switzerland diminishes. But the drop in price is not as important as the increase. The increase in prices can be explained by the fact that certain fruit come from far away and that using polluting transportation facilities has become more expensive. The decrease in price however, is triggered by the tax break on the non-wage labour costs.

Interview of the young woman that was buying strawberries: It is not so obvious to get rid of your bad habits. Now that the imported fruits are more expensive, we think twice about it.

Friend : I don't even think about it, if it is too expensive, I don't buy.

10. Market for carbon credits

To start reducing our CO2 emissions, the Kyoto protocol has put into place a market for carbon credits. The big enterprises are attributed a maximum quota of CO2 emissions, those who succeed in surpassing their reduction goals can then sell precious emission credits to the others.

But the ecological tax reform goes much further. Only this reform will effectively allow us to reduce our petrol consumption by ¾.

Image of parabolic sensors in construction

11  – BALLOON ANIMATION

The balloon animation starts already, even when the text below is still has not come to an end. In a field two balloon pilots blow up their balloons with hot air. One of the balloons being lighter starts to rise. On this balloon, the sponsor has written its name in large letters: POLLUTION

The other balloon is called EMPLOYMENT, it has more trouble rising. It rises slowly. The heavy sand bags that hang on either side of the basket hinder it.

Little flying characters appear in the image and fix the situation by making the EMPLOYMENT balloon lighter so it can then start to rise; and add the sand bags to the POLLUTION balloon, which goes further and further down and also deflates, thus demonstrating that pollution is decreasing.

This reform is a shift in the imposition of taxes. By progressively taxing all the polluting sources of energy, this tax reform discourages their utilisation. In this manner, billions can be recovered and used to reduce the non-wage labour expenses and to develop renewable energies.

The money dedicate to the purchase of petrol could be better utilised to produce locally renewable energies, or to save energy.

[For example by reducing its petrol importation by 10%, Switzerland could create 10 000 employments.]

End of the balloon animation

We all desire to act in favour of the environment. But as individuals we are powerless when facing the formidable challenges of climate change. The ecotax is a tool that can help us act collectively.

Images of solar panels tracking the sun.

 

12– RENEWABLE ENGERGIES. EXT. DAYTIME

Hundreds of solar panels on a rooftop.

A wind farm in Denmark. Close up, a huge blade turns slowly in the middle of the fields.

Wide shot, ten blades dominate the plain and turn in synchronisation. Their impressive height confers sentiment of power.

Voice-over narration: The ecological tax reform is not a new tax imposition: the integrity of the sums collected need to be distributed. In Germany, despite an economic crisis, the tax on polluting energies has permitted the creation of 60 000 jobs within the renewable energies and energy conservation sector. It is truly the opening of a new market: a local commodity chain for the provision of energy. (On the german ecotax see also DIW ernegy policy)

A wind farm in the Danish off-shores (by the dozen)

13 - BEACH. EXT. DAYTIME

A beach in the summer, some kids are playing in the waves, some adults are lying in the sun. Fade in - progression on the same landscape, idyllic, empty of all human beings.

Voice-over narration: The ecological tax reform is difficult to put into practice. But it is the only manner to seriously reduce our CO2 emissions. In the mean time, every day living species disappear forever. BUT we STILL have a choice, we can change.

 

END

 

An idea of the timing

1 - CHALET. EXT. DAYTIME 45''
2 - BEACH. EXT. DAYTIME 1'15''
3 - CARBON CYCLE ANIMATION 45''
4 - CAR. EXT. DAYTIME 1'05''
5 A - DESERTS 20''
5 B - ANIMATION electrocardiogram 1'15''
6 - SUPERMARKET INT. NIGHT 40''
7 - COMMENTARIES ON THE ECOTAX 1'35''
8 - STREET. EXT. DAYTIME 25''
9 - CEMENT FACTORY EXT. DAYTIME 50''
10 - SUPERMARKET. PRICE TAGS 25''
11 - MARKET CREDIT FOR CO2 30''
12 - BALLOONS 45''
13 - CHALET EXT. DAY CIGRETTES 30''
14 - RENEWABLE ENERGIES 30''
15 - BEACH END 20''

TOTAL 13'30''


Contact noé21 - cnissim@iprolink.ch